Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 38.17%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.