Lokomotiv

3 - 1

Sochi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 46.88%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.