Russian Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 9, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
Orenburg2 - 1Akhmat Grozny
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Akhmat Grozny.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Orenburg 4-1 Sochi
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, October 1 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
18
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 2-1 Dynamo Moscow
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, October 2 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 46.16%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Orenburg | Draw | Akhmat Grozny |
46.16% ( -0.26) | 25.13% ( 0.1) | 28.71% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 54.44% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
