Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 48.63%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.64%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
