Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 41.46%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.16%) and 2-1 (8.13%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.