Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 58.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 18.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.19%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.