Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 64.21%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 15%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.73%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%), while for a Rubin Kazan win it was 1-0 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.