Nizhny Novgorod

2 - 3

Arsenal Tula

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 46.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 25.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.