Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Dynamo Moscow in this match.