Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 (11.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.