Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.