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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2023 at 7pm UK
Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Sports City Stadium
Al-Nassr

Al Fateh
0 - 5
Al-Nassr

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mane (27', 81'), Ronaldo (38', 55', 90+6')
Brozovic (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Fateh and Al-Nassr, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Okhdood 1-3 Al Fateh
Friday, August 18 at 4pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-2 Shabab Al-Ahli
Tuesday, August 22 at 6.20pm in AFC Champions League

We said: Al Fateh 1-3 Al-Nassr

The teams have proven to be capable in front of goal, and we are backing both of them to find the back of the net here. That said, we can also see Al-Nassr having too much firepower for their hosts and coming away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 47.34%. A win for Al Fateh had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Al Fateh win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.

Result
Al FatehDrawAl-Nassr
28.35% (0.4 0.4) 24.31% (0.104 0.1) 47.34% (-0.505 -0.51)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.65% (-0.196 -0.2)45.35% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31% (-0.188 -0.19)67.69% (0.18600000000001 0.19)
Al Fateh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.49% (0.19 0.19)29.51% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48% (0.232 0.23)65.52% (-0.235 -0.23)
Al-Nassr Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.286 -0.29)19.27% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.01% (-0.47 -0.47)50.99% (0.467 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Al Fateh 28.35%
    Al-Nassr 47.34%
    Draw 24.3%
Al FatehDrawAl-Nassr
2-1 @ 6.97% (0.069 0.07)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
2-0 @ 4.23% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 28.35%
1-1 @ 11.42% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.68% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.71% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-3 @ 5.17% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 4.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.74% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 47.34%

How you voted: Al Fateh vs Al-Nassr

Al Fateh
13.3%
Draw
6.7%
Al-Nassr
80.0%
45
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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