Both these sides enter this match in poor form, and while the hosts are the marginal favourites, their extensive injury list does not inspire much confidence in their chances. On the flip side, Al Ettifaq have struggled in attack this season, as evidenced last week when they had 17 shots at goal but only found the net once. While both teams need a victory here, we feel they will end up having to settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ettifaq win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ettifaq win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al Ettifaq would win this match.

Result
Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Ettifaq
35.23% ( 0.09)	24.98% ( -0.16)	39.79% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26% (

0.72)

45.74% (

-0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

0.68)

68.05% (

-0.69)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.71% (

0.39)

25.29% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.95% (

0.54)

60.05% (

-0.54)

Al Ettifaq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.15% (

0.35)

22.85% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.42% (

0.51)

56.58% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Al Ittihad 35.23%

Al Ettifaq 39.79%

Draw 24.98%

Al Ittihad	Draw	Al Ettifaq
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.63% Total : 35.23%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.98%	1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 39.79%