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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 25
Mar 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Prince Mohamed bin Fahd Stadium

Al Ettifaq
2 - 2
Al-Ahli

Fofana (45+3'), Albirakan (49' og.)
Dembele (60'), Al Ghannam (68'), Ahmed Khateeb (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Albirakan (8'), Al-Ammar (88')
Al-Asmari (30'), Alnabit (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ettifaq and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Tai 1-1 Al Ettifaq
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 0-1 Al-Nassr
Friday, March 15 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ettifaq 1-1 Al-Ahli

Both these sides come into this match carrying decent form since the New Year and are in need of all three points. Despite the gap in the table, these teams are very closely matched on paper and, like the reverse fixture, we feel there will be nothing to separate them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 48.97%. A win for Al Ettifaq had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Al Ettifaq win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Ahli
27.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 23.92% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 48.97% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.24% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.52% (0.036999999999999 0.04)44.47% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.15% (0.036000000000001 0.04)66.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Al Ettifaq Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.03% (-0.012 -0.01)29.96% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.92% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)66.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.27% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68% (0.060000000000002 0.06)49.32% (-0.061 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Al Ettifaq 27.1%
    Al-Ahli 48.97%
    Draw 23.92%
Al EttifaqDrawAl-Ahli
2-1 @ 6.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.31%
3-0 @ 1.6% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.1%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.74%
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.48% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.3% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 48.97%

How you voted: Al Ettifaq vs Al-Ahli

Al Ettifaq
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Al-Ahli
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 8
Al-Ahli
0-0
Al Ettifaq
Al-Majhad (41')
Ahmed Khateeb (28')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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