Al-Nassr have been excellent at home this season and head into this match unbeaten in their last eight league games on home soil, including seven wins and a draw. Al Hazem, on the other hand, are yet to win a match on the road and are winless in their last five games overall. We feel this should be an easy three points for the Knights of Najd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 75.47%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Al Hazem had a probability of 9.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.57%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for an Al Hazem win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Hazem
75.47% ( -0.08)	15% ( 0.02)	9.52% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 51.79% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.34% (

0.05)

33.66% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.52% (

0.06)

55.48% (

-0.06)

Al-Nassr Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.54% (

-0.01)

7.46% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.18% (

-0.01)

26.81% (

0.01)

Al Hazem Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.96% (

0.14)

44.03% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.85% (

0.12)

80.15% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Al-Nassr 75.47%

Al Hazem 9.52%

Draw 15.01%

Al-Nassr	Draw	Al Hazem
2-0 @ 11.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.85% ( 0) 4-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.65% 4-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.15% 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 75.47%	1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.01%	1-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.52%