Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 21
Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Al Shabab2 - 3Al-Nassr
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Damac 0-1 Al Shabab
Friday, February 16 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Friday, February 16 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 2-0 Al Fayha
Wednesday, February 21 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Wednesday, February 21 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
We said: Al Shabab 1-3 Al-Nassr
Al Nassr have put on three very impressive performances since returning from the international break and are the clear favourites to bag the points in this match. The Knights of Najd have dominated this fixture in recent seasons, and we feel they will secure another victory in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Nassr win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Al Shabab had a probability of 23.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Nassr win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.56%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Al Shabab win was 2-1 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Nassr would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Al Shabab | Draw | Al-Nassr |
23.76% ( -0.4) | 21.42% ( -0.05) | 54.82% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 62.55% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
