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[monks data]
Scotland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Israel national football team

Scotland
1 - 1
Israel

Christie (45' pen.)
Forrest (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zahavi (73')
Peretz (28')

Preview: Scotland vs. Israel - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Scotland and Israel, including team news and injury news.

Scotland and Israel end a 10-month wait for their next international fixture with a UEFA Nations League encounter on Friday night.

These two nations are joined in Group B2 by Slovakia and Czech Republic, who square off in Bratislava on the same evening as the fixture in Glasgow.


Match preview

Scotland manager Steve Clarke pictured in November 2019© Reuters

When taking a look at the most recent Scotland squad named by Steve Clarke, there appears to be enough potential there for this group of players to make an impact over the coming years.

However, until the Tartan Army produce a solid run of form over a prolonged period, a cautious balance between pessimism and optimism will remain as Clarke looks to stamp his mark.

On the positive side, Scotland ended 2019 with three successive victories against San Marino, Cyprus and Kazakhstan, results which came after back-to-back 4-0 defeats to Belgium and Russia.

Although the level of opposition will be taken into consideration, Clarke will feel that this team have now turned a corner ahead of participating in a group which they will feel is winnable.

This game is particularly important due to the teams being due to lock horns in the Euro 2020 playoffs in a month's time, ultimately raising the stakes in both setups.

While Scotland are on a high, the same cannot be said of their foes who suffered a 1-0 defeat away at North Macedonia in their most recent outing.

In total, five setbacks have been recorded in seven matches, a run of results which has led to Willibald Ruttensteiner being placed in caretaker charge.

Despite his lack of experience in the dugout of a senior side, this will not be the first time that the 58-year-old has been temporary coach of a national team in a game played in the United Kingdom.

Back in 2005, Ruttensteiner was the short-term boss of Austria, taking his place in the technical area at Old Trafford as England scrapped their way to a 1-0 win over his side.

Scotland form (all competitions): LLLWWW

Israel form (all competitions): DLLWLL


Team News

Kieran Tierney in action for Arsenal on October 3, 2019© Reuters

Having missed the most recent victory over Kazakhstan, Kieran Tierney and Andrew Robertson will expect to feature in the Scotland starting lineup, potentially with the former switching to right-back or a more central role.

Scott McTominay should also come back into the side in midfield, while Lyndon Dykes may be in line for a debut in attack.

With Oliver McBurnie having recently pulled out of the squad, Oliver Burke is the most likely alternative.

Celtic player Nir Bitton is expected to feature in the middle of Israel's backline, but Hibernian goalkeeper Ofir Marciano may remain on the substitutes' bench.

On the back of his transfer to Real Valldolid, Shon Weismann could be provided with a start in attack.

Scotland possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Tierney, Gallagher, McKenna, Robertson; McTominay, McGregor; Christie, McGinn, Forrest; Dykes

Israel possible starting lineup:
Harush; Dasa, Tibi, Bitton, Tawatha; Natcho, Glazer, Elmkies; Weismann, Zahavi, Dabour


SM words green background

We say: Scotland 2-1 Israel

Given their run of results at the back end of 2019, we can only back Scotland in this match. While Israel will provide a stiff test, Scotland have the potential to improve over the coming years, leading us to predict a home win by the odd goal in three.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Israel had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Israel win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.


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League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal642014
Q Croatia Croatia62228
3 Scotland flag Scotland62137
4 Poland Poland61144

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France641113
Q Italy Italy641113
3 Belgium Belgium61144
4 Israel Israel61144

League A3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany642014
Q Netherlands Netherlands62319
3 Hungary Hungary61326
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina60242

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain651016
Q Denmark Denmark62228
3 Serbia Serbia61326
4 Switzerland Switzerland60242

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic632111
2 Ukraine Ukraine62228
3 Georgia Georgia62137
4 Albania national flag Albania62137

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England650115
2 Greece Greece650115
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland62046
4 Finland Finland60060

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Norway Norway641113
2 Austria Austria632111
3 Slovenia Slovenia62228
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan60151

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Wales flag Wales633012
2 Turkey Turkey632111
3 Iceland Iceland62137
4 Montenegro Montenegro61053

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Sweden Sweden651016
2 Slovakia Slovakia641113
3 Estonia Estonia61144
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan60151

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania550015
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo540112
3 Cyprus Cyprus62046
4 Lithuania Lithuania60060

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland632111
2 Bulgaria Bulgaria62319
3 Belarus Belarus61417
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg60333

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Macedonia N. Macedonia651016
2 Armenia Armenia62137
3 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands61326
4 Latvia Latvia61144

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
Q San Marino flag San Marino42117
2 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar41306
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein40222

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Republic of Moldova Moldova43019
2 Malta flag Malta42117
3 Andorra flag Andorra40131


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