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[monks data]
Scotland national football team
Nations League | League B
Sep 4, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Israel national football team

Scotland
1 - 1
Israel

Christie (45' pen.)
Forrest (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Zahavi (73')
Peretz (28')

Preview: Scotland vs. Israel - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's UEFA Nations League fixture between Scotland and Israel, including team news and injury news.

Scotland and Israel end a 10-month wait for their next international fixture with a UEFA Nations League encounter on Friday night.

These two nations are joined in Group B2 by Slovakia and Czech Republic, who square off in Bratislava on the same evening as the fixture in Glasgow.


Match preview

Scotland manager Steve Clarke pictured in November 2019© Reuters

When taking a look at the most recent Scotland squad named by Steve Clarke, there appears to be enough potential there for this group of players to make an impact over the coming years.

However, until the Tartan Army produce a solid run of form over a prolonged period, a cautious balance between pessimism and optimism will remain as Clarke looks to stamp his mark.

On the positive side, Scotland ended 2019 with three successive victories against San Marino, Cyprus and Kazakhstan, results which came after back-to-back 4-0 defeats to Belgium and Russia.

Although the level of opposition will be taken into consideration, Clarke will feel that this team have now turned a corner ahead of participating in a group which they will feel is winnable.

This game is particularly important due to the teams being due to lock horns in the Euro 2020 playoffs in a month's time, ultimately raising the stakes in both setups.

While Scotland are on a high, the same cannot be said of their foes who suffered a 1-0 defeat away at North Macedonia in their most recent outing.

In total, five setbacks have been recorded in seven matches, a run of results which has led to Willibald Ruttensteiner being placed in caretaker charge.

Despite his lack of experience in the dugout of a senior side, this will not be the first time that the 58-year-old has been temporary coach of a national team in a game played in the United Kingdom.

Back in 2005, Ruttensteiner was the short-term boss of Austria, taking his place in the technical area at Old Trafford as England scrapped their way to a 1-0 win over his side.

Scotland form (all competitions): LLLWWW

Israel form (all competitions): DLLWLL


Team News

Kieran Tierney in action for Arsenal on October 3, 2019© Reuters

Having missed the most recent victory over Kazakhstan, Kieran Tierney and Andrew Robertson will expect to feature in the Scotland starting lineup, potentially with the former switching to right-back or a more central role.

Scott McTominay should also come back into the side in midfield, while Lyndon Dykes may be in line for a debut in attack.

With Oliver McBurnie having recently pulled out of the squad, Oliver Burke is the most likely alternative.

Celtic player Nir Bitton is expected to feature in the middle of Israel's backline, but Hibernian goalkeeper Ofir Marciano may remain on the substitutes' bench.

On the back of his transfer to Real Valldolid, Shon Weismann could be provided with a start in attack.

Scotland possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Tierney, Gallagher, McKenna, Robertson; McTominay, McGregor; Christie, McGinn, Forrest; Dykes

Israel possible starting lineup:
Harush; Dasa, Tibi, Bitton, Tawatha; Natcho, Glazer, Elmkies; Weismann, Zahavi, Dabour


SM words green background

We say: Scotland 2-1 Israel

Given their run of results at the back end of 2019, we can only back Scotland in this match. While Israel will provide a stiff test, Scotland have the potential to improve over the coming years, leading us to predict a home win by the odd goal in three.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Israel had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Israel win it was 1-2 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.


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League A1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Portugal Portugal431010
2 Croatia Croatia42117
3 Poland Poland41124
4 Scotland flag Scotland40131

League A2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Italy Italy431010
2 France France43019
3 Belgium Belgium41124
4 Israel Israel40040

League A3

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1 Germany Germany431010
2 Netherlands Netherlands41215
3 Hungary Hungary41215
4 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina40131

League A4

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain431010
2 Denmark Denmark42117
3 Serbia Serbia41124
4 Switzerland Switzerland40131

League B1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic42117
2 Georgia Georgia42026
3 Albania national flag Albania42026
4 Ukraine Ukraine41124

League B2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Greece Greece440012
2 England flag England43019
3 Ireland Rep. Ireland41033
4 Finland Finland40040

League B3

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Norway Norway42117
2 Austria Austria42117
3 Slovenia Slovenia42117
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan40131

League B4

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey431010
2 Wales flag Wales42208
3 Iceland Iceland41124
4 Montenegro Montenegro40040

League C1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Sweden Sweden431010
2 Slovakia Slovakia431010
3 Estonia Estonia41033
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan40040

League C2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania440012
2 Kosovo flag Kosovo43019
3 Cyprus Cyprus41033
4 Lithuania Lithuania40040

League C3

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland42117
2 Belarus Belarus41306
3 Bulgaria Bulgaria41215
4 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg40222

League C4

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Macedonia N. Macedonia431010
2 Armenia Armenia41124
3 Latvia Latvia41124
4 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands40313

League D1

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar31205
2 San Marino flag San Marino21013
3 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein30212

League D2

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Republic of Moldova Moldova32016
2 Malta flag Malta32016
3 Andorra flag Andorra20020


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