Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.15%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
47.15% ( 3.64) | 25.02% ( -0.53) | 27.82% ( -3.12) |
Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.22% ( 0.64) | 48.78% ( -0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.12% ( 0.58) | 70.88% ( -0.59) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.27% ( 1.91) | 20.72% ( -1.92) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.66% ( 2.93) | 53.33% ( -2.94) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.33% ( -1.91) | 31.66% ( 1.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.92% ( -2.26) | 68.07% ( 2.25) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.69) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.44) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.58) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.27) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.31) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.64% Total : 47.14% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 6.56% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.02% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.52) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.61) 1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.35) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.34) Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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