Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 35.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.14%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
40.97% ( 0.03) | 23.68% ( 0) | 35.36% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 62.43% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.48% ( -0.01) | 39.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.13% ( -0.01) | 61.87% ( 0.02) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.38% ( 0.01) | 19.62% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.43% ( 0.01) | 51.57% ( -0.01) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.66% ( -0.02) | 22.34% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.18% ( -0.03) | 55.82% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Airdrieonians | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 8.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.55% 3-0 @ 3.16% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.97% | 1-1 @ 10.69% 2-2 @ 6.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.92% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 35.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 22 |
2 | Arbroath | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
3 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 20 |
6 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 18 |
7 | Montrose | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 17 |
8 | Dumbarton | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 15 |
9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 24 | -15 | 14 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |