Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 24.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-0 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.