Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.33%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
32.66% ( -1.79) | 25.01% ( -0.2) | 42.33% ( 2) |
Both teams to score 56.86% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% ( 0.46) | 46.45% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% ( 0.43) | 68.73% ( -0.42) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.84% ( -0.87) | 27.17% ( 0.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.43% ( -1.15) | 62.57% ( 1.15) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( 1.17) | 21.93% ( -1.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.81% ( 1.74) | 55.2% ( -1.74) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.22) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.02% Total : 32.66% | 1-1 @ 11.77% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 9.04% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.26) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.28) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 8 | 17 | 29 |
2 | Livingston | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 23 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 21 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 19 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 19 |
6 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
7 | Raith Rovers | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 14 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 10 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |