Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 23.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Airdrieonians win it was 0-1 (6.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
53.13% ( -0.12) | 23.59% ( 0.03) | 23.28% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.43% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.63% ( -0.06) | 46.37% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.35% ( -0.05) | 68.65% ( 0.05) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.6% ( -0.06) | 17.4% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.17% ( -0.11) | 47.83% ( 0.11) |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.9% ( 0.04) | 34.1% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.21% ( 0.05) | 70.79% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.29% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 3.75% Total : 53.12% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.58% | 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.19% Total : 23.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |