Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.43%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.