Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.