Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.