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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 18
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
New Douglas Park
Inverness CT

Hamilton
2 - 1
Inverness

O'Reilly (19'), Smith (73' pen.)
Martin (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Allardice (43')
MacKay (72'), Allardice (90+2'), Mckay (90+2')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Hamilton Academical and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hamilton Academical in this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
43.65% (-0.419 -0.42) 24.69% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07) 31.66% (0.493 0.49)
Both teams to score 57.56% (0.47 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.63% (0.515 0.52)45.37% (-0.51000000000001 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (0.49 0.49)67.71% (-0.48399999999999 -0.48)
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.14% (0.027999999999992 0.03)20.86% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.44% (0.040999999999997 0.04)53.56% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.57299999999999 0.57)27.27% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.3% (0.737 0.74)62.7% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 43.65%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 31.66%
    Draw 24.69%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-0 @ 8.92% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 6.99% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.86% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.43% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.21% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 43.65%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.9% (0.068 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.69%
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.082 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.39% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.26% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.07 0.07)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 31.66%

How you voted: Hamilton vs Inverness

Hamilton Academical
66.7%
Draw
26.7%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
6.7%
15
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Inverness
0-3
Hamilton

Allardice (63'), Devine (72')
De Bolle (47'), Tiehi (80'), Smith (87' pen.)
O'Reilly (13'), Tumilty (30')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Hamilton
2-0
Inverness
Nixon (4' og.), Mimnaugh (33')
Tiehi (10')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
Inverness
4-0
Hamilton
Walsh (4', 22'), Sutherland (15'), Hardy (28')

Popescu (35'), Easton (57')
Feb 25, 2022 7.45pm
Hamilton
1-1
Inverness
Mullin (13')
O'Reilly (22')
Pearson (30')
McAlear (30'), Deas (76')
rhs 2.0
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