Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.