Scottish Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK

Caledonian Stadium

Inverness
2 - 2
Ayr

Shaw (6', 87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McKenzie (66'), Akinyemi (82')
McAllister (78')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Inverness Caledonian Thistle and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Last Game: Queen's Park 2-1 Inverness
Saturday, November 12 at 5.30pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Hamilton 2-3 Ayr
Friday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 48.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
48.86% ( -0.06)	25.86% ( -0.23)	25.28% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 49.52% (

0.92)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.14% (

1.07)

53.86% (

-1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.68% (

0.89)

75.32% (

-0.89)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

0.42)

22.07% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

0.64)

55.41% (

-0.64)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.55% (

0.84)

36.45% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.76% (

0.84)

73.24% (

-0.84)

Score Analysis

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 48.86%

Ayr United 25.28%

Draw 25.85%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 12.15% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.67% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.86%	1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.84% Total : 25.28%