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Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
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Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Ayr United
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 23
Apr 6, 2021 at 7pm UK
Somerset Park
Dundee logo

Ayr
0 - 3
Dundee

FT(HT: 0-0)
Anderson (68'), Afolabi (74'), McGowan (87')
Marshall (51'), Mullen (70')

The Match

Match Report

Max Anderson, Jonathan Afolabi and Paul McGowan scored in a 3-0 win.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 1-0 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
29.39%27.32%43.29%
Both teams to score 48.18%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99%57.01%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.09%77.9%
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.2%34.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.46%71.53%
Dundee Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.89%26.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.83%61.17%
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 29.39%
    Dundee 43.29%
    Draw 27.31%
Ayr UnitedDrawDundee
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 6.8%
2-0 @ 5.06%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.78%
3-2 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 29.39%
1-1 @ 12.87%
0-0 @ 9.09%
2-2 @ 4.56%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.31%
0-1 @ 12.2%
1-2 @ 8.65%
0-2 @ 8.19%
1-3 @ 3.87%
0-3 @ 3.67%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 1.3%
0-4 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 43.29%

How you voted: Ayr vs Dundee

Ayr United
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Dundee
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 13
Dundee
1-3
Ayr
Sow (86')
Adam (45')
McKenzie (18', 84'), Smith (49')
McKenzie (65'), Sinisalo (71'), Ndaba (90+2')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
2-0
Dundee
Smith (3'), Moffat (16')
Sinisalo (80')

Byrne (73'), Marshall (90+1')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Dundee
2-0
Ayr
Hemmings (11'), Crankshaw (90')
Meekings (45')

Muirhead (24'), Houston (59'), Kelly (88')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 28
Ayr
0-0
Dundee
Roscoe (52'), Houston (66'), Muirhead (70')
Kerr (25')
Oct 25, 2019 7.05pm
Gameweek 10
Ayr
1-2
Dundee
McCowan (38')
Kelly (28'), Geggan (32'), Muirhead (66'), Docherty (68')
McDaid (16'), McGowan (32')
McGowan (32')
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