Scottish Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 26, 2021 at 3pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
2 - 0
Raith Rovers

Adeloye (22'), McKenzie (76')
Houston (12'), Chalmers (69')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Matthews (79'), Lang (90+3')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 35.59%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (12.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
35.59%	30.12%	34.28%

Both teams to score 41.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.51%

65.48%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.77%

84.23%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.11%

34.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.37%

71.62%

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.21%

35.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44%

72.56%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 35.59%

Raith Rovers 34.28%

Draw 30.12%

Ayr United	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 13.14% 2-1 @ 7.11% 2-0 @ 6.92% 3-1 @ 2.5% 3-0 @ 2.43% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.59%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.48% 2-2 @ 3.66% Other @ 0.47% Total : 30.12%	0-1 @ 12.82% 1-2 @ 6.94% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 2.03% Total : 34.28%