Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.66%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (9.01%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.