MX23RW : Tuesday, November 26 18:02:09| >> :60:1407:1407:
Ayr United
Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 8, 2024 at 1pm UK
Somerset Park
Raith Rovers

Ayr
3 - 2
Raith Rovers

Dowds (49' pen., 69'), Oakley (70')
Dowds (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Smith (11'), Easton (15')
Gibson (18'), Matthews (40')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ayr United

All competitions
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Raith Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Livingston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
44.57% (-1.148 -1.15) 25.41% (0.383 0.38) 30.02% (0.769 0.77)
Both teams to score 54.34% (-0.803 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.78% (-1.254 -1.25)49.21% (1.258 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.72% (-1.143 -1.14)71.28% (1.149 1.15)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.94% (-1.041 -1.04)22.06% (1.045 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.6% (-1.599 -1.6)55.4% (1.605 1.61)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.71% (-0.094000000000008 -0.09)30.29% (0.1 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.53% (-0.116 -0.12)66.47% (0.121 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 44.56%
    Raith Rovers 30.02%
    Draw 25.41%
Ayr UnitedDrawRaith Rovers
1-0 @ 10.09% (0.194 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-0 @ 7.63% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.215 -0.22)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.136 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 12.06% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.337 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.98% (0.382 0.38)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.77% (0.216 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.9% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 30.02%

Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Ayr
2-0
Raith Rovers
Dowds (40' pen.), Walker (90')
Stanger (45+1')

Easton (33'), Matthews (65'), Connolly (88')
Byrne (38')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 32
Raith Rovers
2-1
Ayr
Easton (45+2'), Hamilton (65' pen.)
Easton (67'), Byrne (68')
Chalmers (55')
McAllister (6'), Sanders (71')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 25
Ayr
1-2
Raith Rovers
Syla (11')
McKenzie (15'), Dempsey (36')
Rudden (5'), Vaughan (45+2')
Brown (88'), Brown (88')
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Raith Rovers
4-4
Ayr
Stanton (30'), Vaughan (45', 81' pen., 90+1')
Byrne (58')
McGeady (29'), Dempsey (55'), Chalmers (63'), Rose (85')
McGinty (43')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 7
Ayr
1-2
Raith Rovers
Dowds (50')
McAllister (56'), Young (82')
Easton (23', 26')
Vaughan (56'), Dick (79')
rhs 2.0
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