Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Sep 8, 2024 at 1pm UK
Somerset Park
Ayr3 - 2Raith Rovers
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Ayr United and Raith Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-1 Ayr
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Goals
for
for
13
Last Game: Raith Rovers 0-1 Livingston
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Raith Rovers |
44.57% ( -1.15) | 25.41% ( 0.38) | 30.02% ( 0.77) |
Both teams to score 54.34% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.78% ( -1.25) | 49.21% ( 1.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.72% ( -1.14) | 71.28% ( 1.15) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( -1.04) | 22.06% ( 1.05) |