Scottish Championship | Gameweek 32

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
2 - 1
Ayr

Easton (45+2'), Hamilton (65' pen.)
Easton (67'), Byrne (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Chalmers (55')
McAllister (6'), Sanders (71')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-0 Raith Rovers
Saturday, March 30 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Ayr United

All competitions

Last Game: Ayr 2-1 Airdrieonians
Friday, March 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 26.01% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Ayr United
50.04% ( -0.01)	23.96% ( 0)	26.01% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.15% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.53% (

-0.01)

45.47% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.2% (

-0.01)

67.8% (

0.01)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.77% (

-0.01)

18.23% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.73% (

-0.01)

49.27% (

0.01)

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

-0)

31.33% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

-0)

67.69% (

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 50.04%

Ayr United 26.01%

Draw 23.95%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Ayr United
1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 50.04%	1-1 @ 11.28% 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.95%	0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.53% 2-3 @ 2.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.8% Total : 26.01%