Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 36.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.