Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.