Scottish Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Cappielow Park, Sinclair Street, Greenock

Morton
1 - 0
Raith Rovers

Gillespie (90+3' pen.)
Baird (30'), Muirhead (78'), Grimshaw (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Frederiksen (45+1'), Dick (74'), Spencer (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greenock Morton

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Morton 5-0 Hamilton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-0 Cove Rangers
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 37.55%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 34.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.98%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Greenock Morton in this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Raith Rovers
37.55% ( 0.15)	27.82% ( 0.01)	34.63% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 48.28% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.38% (

-0.07)

57.61% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.61% (

-0.05)

78.39% (

0.05)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.41% (

0.05)

29.59% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.37% (

0.07)

65.62% (

-0.07)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.58% (

-0.14)

31.42% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.2% (

-0.16)

67.79% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 37.55%

Raith Rovers 34.63%

Draw 27.81%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 37.55%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.81%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 34.63%