MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 23:11:34| >> :300:86500:86500:
Airdrieonians
Ayr United
Dunfermline Athletic
Falkirk
Greenock Morton
Hamilton logo
Livingston logo
Partick Thistle
Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
Scottish Championship | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stark's Park
Ayr United

Raith Rovers
3 - 2
Ayr

Connell (8'), Stanton (35'), Brown (83')
Connell (39'), Nolan (45+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Young (51'), Murdoch (69')
Akinyemi (53'), Reading (54'), Murdoch (80')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morton 1-2 Ayr
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 48.11%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (8.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.

Result
Raith RoversDrawAyr United
48.11% (0.113 0.11) 26.14% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 25.75% (-0.195 -0.2)
Both teams to score 49.12% (-0.39 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.427 -0.43)54.59% (0.425 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.357 -0.36)75.93% (0.352 0.35)
Raith Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.29% (-0.129 -0.13)22.7% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.63% (-0.192 -0.19)56.36% (0.187 0.19)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (-0.399 -0.4)36.44% (0.395 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (-0.407 -0.41)73.23% (0.40299999999999 0.4)
Score Analysis
    Raith Rovers 48.11%
    Ayr United 25.75%
    Draw 26.13%
Raith RoversDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 12.26% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.09% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.49% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 48.11%
1-1 @ 12.38% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.136 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 26.13%
0-1 @ 8.35% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.42% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 25.75%

Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Raith Rovers
0-4
Ayr
Adeloye (3'), Maxwell (32', 38'), Ashford (65')
Maxwell (39')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Ayr
2-0
Raith Rovers
Adeloye (22'), McKenzie (76')
Houston (12'), Chalmers (69')

Matthews (79'), Lang (90+3')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Raith Rovers
2-1
Ayr
Ross (12'), Zanatta (27')
Tait (77'), Dick (86')
Baird (71')
Murdoch (27')
Sep 7, 2021 6pm
Ayr
0-2
Raith Rovers

Muirhead (70')
Afolabi (75'), Muirhead (81')
Varian (14'), Zanatta (25')
Zanatta (15'), Riley-Snow (31')
Riley-Snow (79')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Ayr
1-1
Raith Rovers
Muirhead (72')
Chalmers (29'), Houston (68'), Murdoch (77'), Smith (85')
Benedictus (57')
Musonda (36'), Matthews (48')
rhs 2.0
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