Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (7.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.