Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 29.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
46.4% ( 0.55) | 24.27% ( 0.01) | 29.33% ( -0.55) |
Both teams to score 57.73% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.41% ( -0.33) | 44.59% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.05% ( -0.32) | 66.95% ( 0.32) |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.65% ( 0.1) | 19.35% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.87% ( 0.16) | 51.13% ( -0.16) |
Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% ( -0.54) | 28.42% ( 0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.82% ( -0.69) | 64.18% ( 0.68) |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0) Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.4% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 14 | 20 | 41 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 15 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |