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Scottish Championship | Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Tony Macaroni Arena
Dunfermline Athletic

Livingston
2 - 0
Dunfermline

Pittman (49'), Kelly (71')
Brandon (23')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Livingston and Dunfermline Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livingston

All competitions
Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Spartans
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Dunfermline Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship
Last Game: Dunfermline 1-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.88%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
LivingstonDrawDunfermline Athletic
40.88% (1.032 1.03) 26.9% (0.198 0.2) 32.22% (-1.228 -1.23)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.956 -0.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.49% (-1.067 -1.07)54.51% (1.068 1.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.13% (-0.893 -0.89)75.86% (0.89399999999999 0.89)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.77% (0.064999999999998 0.06)26.23% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.67% (0.088999999999999 0.09)61.32% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.54% (-1.357 -1.36)31.45% (1.358 1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.16% (-1.601 -1.6)67.84% (1.603 1.6)
Score Analysis
    Livingston 40.88%
    Dunfermline Athletic 32.22%
    Draw 26.9%
LivingstonDrawDunfermline Athletic
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.47 0.47)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.067 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 3.81% (0.037 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.3% (0.151 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.1% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 40.88%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.25% (0.337 0.34)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 5.52% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 2.85% (-0.203 -0.2)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.133 -0.13)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 32.22%

Head to Head
Jul 20, 2024 3pm
Group Stage
Livingston
1-0
Dunfermline
Muirhead (11')

Benedictus (83')
Apr 3, 2018 7.45pm
Dunfermline
1-0
Livingston
Ashcroft (11')
Beadling (20'), McManus (65')

Pittman (45'), Jacobs (86')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Livingston
0-0
Dunfermline
Byrne (24')
Thompson (70')
M'voto (34'), Beadling (40'), Vincent (42')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Dunfermline
3-1
Livingston
Higginbotham (2', 38'), Aird (30')
Mullen (87')
Gallagher (47'), Penrice (67'), Byrne (90')
Aug 5, 2017 3pm
Livingston
1-1
Dunfermline
Pittman (30')
Mullen (44'), Gallagher (79'), Longridge (89')
Higginbotham (63' pen.)
Mvoto (76'), Cardle (78')
rhs 2.0
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