Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.