Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Fountain of Youth Stadium
Hamilton0 - 2Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 QotS (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Hamilton Academical 1-3 Hearts
With Hamilton having impressed in the previous round and producing some of their best form of the season, they will fancy their chances of causing the upset. Nevertheless, Hearts should have too much quality in their ranks and should ride any storm to eventually post a win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Hearts |
34.8% ( 0.41) | 24.73% ( -0.11) | 40.47% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 58.44% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.34% ( 0.57) | 44.66% ( -0.57) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.98% ( 0.55) | 67.02% ( -0.55) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.97% ( 0.51) | 25.03% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.3% ( 0.7) | 59.7% ( -0.7) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.96% ( 0.1) | 22.04% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.62% ( 0.15) | 55.38% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical 34.8%
Hearts 40.47%
Draw 24.73%
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Hearts |
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.8% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73% | 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.47% |
How you voted: Hamilton vs Hearts
Hamilton Academical
11.1%Draw
8.3%Hearts
80.6%36
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-24 08:27:33
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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