Scottish Cup | Fifth Round

Feb 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Fountain of Youth Stadium

Hamilton
0 - 2
Hearts

Tumilty (13'), Martin (45+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Humphrys (29'), Devlin (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Hamilton Academical and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Hamilton 2-1 QotS (0-0 pen.)
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Cup

Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hamilton Academical 1-3 Hearts

With Hamilton having impressed in the previous round and producing some of their best form of the season, they will fancy their chances of causing the upset. Nevertheless, Hearts should have too much quality in their ranks and should ride any storm to eventually post a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
Hamilton Academical	Draw	Hearts
34.8% ( 0.41)	24.73% ( -0.11)	40.47% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 58.44% (

0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.34% (

0.57)

44.66% (

-0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.98% (

0.55)

67.02% (

-0.55)

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.97% (

0.51)

25.03% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.3% (

0.7)

59.7% (

-0.7)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.96% (

0.1)

22.04% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.62% (

0.15)

55.38% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Hamilton Academical 34.8%

Hearts 40.47%

Draw 24.73%

Hamilton Academical	Draw	Hearts
2-1 @ 8% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 34.8%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.73%	1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.43% Total : 40.47%