Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
47.49% ( 0.07) | 25.55% ( 0.07) | 26.96% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.49% ( -0.4) | 51.51% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.69% ( -0.35) | 73.31% ( 0.35) |
Hamilton Academical Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.3% ( -0.14) | 21.7% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.15% ( -0.2) | 54.85% ( 0.21) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.22% ( -0.32) | 33.78% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.55% ( -0.35) | 70.45% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Hamilton Academical | Draw | Raith Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 47.49% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 26.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |