Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 62.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.