Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 14.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 0-1 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.