Scottish Championship | Gameweek 35
Apr 22, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
Kilmarnock2 - 1Arbroath
Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Kilmarnock and Arbroath.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Next Game: Fraserburgh vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Inverness (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kilmarnock | 35 | 23 | 66 |
| 2 | Arbroath | 35 | 23 | 62 |
| 3 | Inverness Caledonian Thistle | 35 | 15 | 56 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (6.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Arbroath |
| 61.74% | 23.29% | 14.98% |
| Both teams to score 41.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.82% | 56.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.77% | 77.23% |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.14% | 17.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.37% | 48.63% |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.75% | 49.25% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 15.87% | 84.13% |
| Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock 61.73%
Arbroath 14.98%
Draw 23.28%
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Arbroath |
| 1-0 @ 15.15% 2-0 @ 13.05% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 7.49% 3-1 @ 5.31% 4-0 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.29% 3-2 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.99% Total : 61.73% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 0-0 @ 8.8% 2-2 @ 3.27% Other @ 0.48% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.23% 1-2 @ 3.8% 0-2 @ 2.21% Other @ 2.74% Total : 14.98% |
How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Arbroath
Kilmarnock
66.7%Draw
20.0%Arbroath
13.3%15
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2021 7.45pm
