Scottish Championship | Gameweek 29

Mar 11, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Somerset Park

Ayr
1 - 3
Kilmarnock

McInroy (38')
Fjortoft (30')

FT(HT: 1-3)

McKenzie (3'), Shaw (12'), Sanders (16')
Hodson (48'), Taylor (73')

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Ayr United and Kilmarnock.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

Last Six:

Last Game: Raith Rovers 1-1 Kilmarnock
Friday, April 29 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Next Game: Fraserburgh vs. Kilmarnock
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Kilmarnock	35	23	66
2	Arbroath	35	23	62
3	Inverness Caledonian Thistle	35	15	56

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 17.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.48%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for an Ayr United win it was 1-0 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
Ayr United	Draw	Kilmarnock
17.48%	26.67%	55.85%

Both teams to score 38.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.28%

63.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.02%

82.98%

Ayr United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.59%

50.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.06%

84.94%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8%

23.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.91%

57.09%

Score Analysis

Ayr United 17.48%

Kilmarnock 55.84%

Draw 26.67%

Ayr United	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.01% 2-1 @ 4.01% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.48%	1-1 @ 11.7% 0-0 @ 11.69% 2-2 @ 2.93% Other @ 0.35% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 17.08% 0-2 @ 12.48% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-3 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 4.17% 0-4 @ 2.22% 1-4 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.32% Total : 55.84%