Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
55.75% ( 0.1) | 24.17% ( -0.02) | 20.08% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 48.31% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.67% ( -0.04) | 52.33% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.98% ( -0.03) | 74.02% ( 0.03) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.35% ( 0.02) | 18.64% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.04% ( 0.04) | 49.95% ( -0.05) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.38% ( -0.11) | 40.62% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.79% ( -0.1) | 77.21% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Greenock Morton |
1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% 3-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.74% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.16% | 0-1 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 43 |
2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 41 |
3 | Livingston | 21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 39 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 35 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 29 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 24 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 23 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 27 | 34 | -7 | 21 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 19 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 41 | -30 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |