Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 51.43%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 24.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
Result | ||
Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
51.43% ( 0.27) | 23.78% ( -0.1) | 24.79% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 55.51% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.25% ( 0.27) | 45.75% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.93% ( 0.25) | 68.07% ( -0.25) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( 0.2) | 17.81% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.47% ( 0.35) | 48.53% ( -0.35) |
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.53% ( -0) | 32.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.01% ( -0) | 68.99% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 51.43% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.78% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 24.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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