MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 19:47:40| >> :120:23697:23697:
Ayr United
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 7, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Somerset Park
Hibs logo

Ayr
vs.
Hibernian

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Ayr United and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hamilton 0-2 Ayr
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We say: Ayr United 0-2 Hibernian

Both teams are enjoying strong runs heading into this one, but with the visitors boasting the superior talent throughout their squad, we believe Hibernian will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Hibernian has a probability of 33.33% and a draw has a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Hibernian win is 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.37%).

Result
Ayr UnitedDrawHibernian
40.63% (-0.553 -0.55) 26.04% (0.217 0.22) 33.33% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 53.62% (-0.615 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.26% (-0.835 -0.84)50.74% (0.837 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.36% (-0.74 -0.74)72.64% (0.74199999999999 0.74)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.35% (-0.655 -0.66)24.65% (0.657 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.84% (-0.928 -0.93)59.16% (0.93 0.93)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.16% (-0.193 -0.19)28.84% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.3% (-0.241 -0.24)64.7% (0.244 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Ayr United 40.63%
    Hibernian 33.33%
    Draw 26.03%
Ayr UnitedDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.145 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.67% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.42% (-0.07 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 40.63%
1-1 @ 12.37% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.03%
0-1 @ 8.84% (0.248 0.25)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.5% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 33.33%

Who will win Friday's Scottish Cup clash between Ayr and Hibernian?

Ayr United
Draw
Hibernian
Ayr United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hibernian
100%
7
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
Second round
Hibernian
5-0
Ayr
Stokes (20', 59'), Murray (31'), Ambrose (69'), Matulevicius (85')

Rose (49')
Apr 29, 2017 3pm
Ayr
0-4
Hibernian

Devlin (31'), Moore (84')
Cummings (27', 72'), Boyle (30'), Keatings (66')
Gray (43'), McGregor (67'), Forster (85')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Quarter-Finals
Hibernian
3-1
Ayr
McGinn (7'), Cummings (12' pen.), Keatings (79')
Forster (17')
McGuffie (33')
Harkins (42')
McKenna (45')
Feb 4, 2017 3pm
Hibernian
1-1
Ayr
Cummings (74')
Shinnie (45'), Keatings (80')
Crawford (4')
Adams (17'), Harkins (41')
Nov 5, 2016 3pm
Ayr
0-3
Hibernian

Adams (40'), Docherty (86')
Boyle (28', 77'), McGinn (84')
Fyvie (61'), Shinnie (67')
rhs 2.0
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