Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 54.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 22.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Motherwell win it was 1-2 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
54.53% (![]() | 22.83% (![]() | 22.64% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.11% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.25% (![]() | 43.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.86% (![]() | 66.13% (![]() |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.04% (![]() | 15.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.75% (![]() | 45.24% (![]() |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.77% (![]() | 33.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.16% (![]() | 69.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.93% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.51% 4-2 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.01% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.51% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 10.72% 2-2 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 5.91% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.22% 1-3 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.33% Total : 22.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 87 | 17 | 70 | 75 |
2 | RangersRangers | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 59 | 26 | 33 | 59 |
3 | Hibernian | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 43 |
4 | Aberdeen | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 42 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 41 |
6 | Motherwell | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 37 |
7 | Hearts | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 36 |
8 | Ross County | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 35 |
9 | St Mirren | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 34 |
10 | Kilmarnock | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 31 |
11 | Dundee | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 28 |
12 | St Johnstone | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 25 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |